The
American presidency
Learning the hard way
Mar 26th 2009
From The Economist print
edition
Barack Obama may at last be getting a grip. But he still needs to
show more leadership, at home and abroad
HILLARY CLINTONfS most
effective quip, in her long struggle with Barack Obama for the Democratic
nomination last year, was that the Oval Office is no place for on-the-job
training. It went to the heart of the nagging worry about the silver-tongued
young senator from Illinois: that he lacked even the slightest executive
experience, and that in his brief career he had never really stood up to
powerful interests, whether in his home city of Chicago or in the wider world.
Might Mrs Clinton have been right about her foe?
Not altogether. In
foreign policy in particular Mr Obama has already done some commendable things.
He has held out a sincere hand to Iran; he has ordered Guantánamo closed within
a year; he has set himself firmly against torture. He has, as the world and this
newspaper wanted, taken a less strident tone in dealing with friends and rivals
alike.
But at home Mr Obama has
had a difficult start. His performance has been weaker than those who endorsed
his candidacy, including this newspaper, had hoped. Many of his strongest
supporters—liberal columnists, prominent donors, Democratic Party stalwarts—have
started to question him. As for those not so beholden, polls show that
independent voters again prefer Republicans to Democrats, a startling reversal
of fortune in just a few weeks. Mr Obamafs once-celestial approval ratings are
about where George Bushfs were at this stage in his awful presidency. Despite
his resounding electoral victory, his solid majorities in both chambers of
Congress and the obvious goodwill of the bulk of the electorate, Mr Obama has
seemed curiously feeble.
There are two main
reasons for this. The first is Mr Obamafs failure to grapple as fast and as
single-mindedly with the economy as he should have done. His stimulus package,
though huge, was subcontracted to Congress, which did a mediocre job: too much
of the money will arrive too late to be of help in the current crisis. His
budget, though in some ways more honest than his predecessorfs, is wildly
optimistic. And he has taken too long to produce his plan for dealing with the
trillions of dollars of toxic assets which fester on banksf balance-sheets.
The failure to staff the
Treasury is a shocking illustration of administrative drift. There are 23 slots
at the department that need confirmation by the Senate, and only two have been
filled. This is not the Senatefs fault. Mr Obama has made a series of bad picks
of people who have chosen or been forced to withdraw; and it was only this week
that he announced his candidates for two of the departmentfs four most senior
posts. Filling such jobs is always a tortuous business in America, but Mr Obama
has made it harder by insisting on a level of scrutiny far beyond anything
previously attempted. Getting the Treasury team in place ought to have been his
first priority.
Second, Mr Obama has
mishandled his relations with both sides in Congress. Though he campaigned as a
centrist and promised an era of post-partisan government, thatfs not how he has
behaved. His stimulus bill attracted only three Republican votes in the Senate
and none in the House. This bodes ill for the passage of more difficult
projects, such as his big plans for carbon-emissions control and health-care
reform. Keeping those promises will soon start to bedevil the administration.
The Republicans must take their share of the blame for the breakdown. But if Mr
Obama had done a better job of selling his package, and had worked harder at
making sure that Republicans were included in drafting it, they would have found
it more difficult to oppose his plans.
If Mr Obama cannot work
with the Republicans, he needs to be certain that he controls his own party.
Unfortunately, he seems unable to. Put bluntly, the Democrats are messing him
around. They are pushing pro-trade-union legislation (notably a measure to get
rid of secret ballots) even though he doesnft want them to do so; they have been
roughing up the bankers even though it makes his task of fixing the economy much
harder; they have stuffed his stimulus package and his appropriations bill with
pork, even though this damages him and his party in the eyes of the electorate.
Worst of all, he is letting them get away with it.
There are some signs
that Mr Obamafs administration is learning. This week the battered treasury
secretary, Tim Geithner, has at last come up with a detailed plan to rescue the
banks (see article and article). Its success is far from
guaranteed, and the mood of Congress and the public has soured to the point
where, should this plan fail, getting another one off the drawing-board will be
exceedingly hard. But the plan at least demonstrates the administrationfs
acceptance that it must work with the bankers, instead of riding the wave of
popular opinion against them, if it is to repair Americafs economy. And itfs not
just in the domestic arena that Mr Obama has demonstrated his willingness to
learn: on Iraq, he has intelligently recalibrated his views, coming up with a
plan for withdrawal that seeks to consolidate the gains in Iraq while limiting
the costs to America.
But Mr Obama has a long
way to travel if he is to serve his country—and the world—as he should. Take the
G20 meeting in London, to which he will head at the end of next week. The most
important task for this would-be institution is to set itself firmly against
protectionism at a time when most of its members are engaged in a game of
creeping beggar-thy-neighbour. Yet how can Mr Obama lead the fight when he has
just pandered to Americafs unions by sparking a minor trade war with Mexico? And
how can he set a new course for NATO at its 60th-anniversary summit a few days
later if he is appeasing his party with talk of leaving Afghanistan?
In an accomplished press
conference this week, Mr Obama reminded the world what an impressive politician
he can be. He has a capacity to inspire that is unmatched abroad or at home. He
holds a strong hand when it comes to the Democrats, many of whom owe their seats
to his popularity at last yearfs election. Now he must play it.
Copyright © 2009 The Economist Newspaper and The
Economist Group. All rights reserved.